Assessing the costs and benefits of Canada's 12-year F-35 odyssey

OTTAWA --
Then-defence minister Peter MacKay climbed right into a faux F-35 cockpit earlier than smiling for the cameras and flashing a thumbs up. The date was July 16, 2010, and MacKay had simply introduced that Canada was planning to purchase a fleet of the stealth fighters.


Quick-forward to Monday and the scene was very totally different. There was no faux cockpit, no smiles or thumbs up as Procurement Minister Filomena Tassi and Defence Minister Anita Anand made just about the identical announcement: Canada was going with the F-35.


In some ways, it appeared there was little to have fun after 12 years of political controversy and mismanagement. But whereas there isn't any denying the associated fee to taxpayers, the army and Canada's fame, consultants say that does not imply there hasn't been some profit.


Defence analyst David Perry of the Canadian International Affairs Institute says the clearest profit is that the F-35 is now flying precise missions for the U.S. and different allies, which wasn't the case greater than a decade in the past.


"There hadn't been all that many plane that had been produced again in 2010, and we're now into the a whole lot and hundreds of flight hours," Perry mentioned. "Mainly, it's rather more superior and mature than it was in 2010."


Queen's College procurement knowledgeable Kim Nossal agrees, saying Canada managed to skate round most of the improvement points which can be nonetheless being ironed out on the F-35s, which solely grew to become absolutely operational for the U.S. in 2016.


Nossal can also be hopeful that the previous 12 years have had one other profit: decreasing the extent of political interference in army procurement, which he blames for the very fact Canada will nonetheless be flying its growing older CF-18s by means of 2032.


"The true query is whether or not or not the political events, primarily the Liberals and the Conservatives, have realized from what occurs once you determine to play politics with a significant army procurement," he mentioned.


Particularly, he says MacKay and different members of Stephen Harper's Conservative authorities tried to hurry the acquisition of 65 F-35s by failing to do their due diligence, together with operating a contest.


Justin Trudeau continued that pattern, Nossal mentioned, by making the "rash" and untenable promise in 2015 to not purchase the F-35 whereas additionally promising to carry an open and truthful competitors to interchange the CF-18s.


"The Liberal authorities spent an excellent 5 years looking for methods to sq. what was an unsquareable promise," he mentioned. "And solely just lately, did they lastly get round to doing it in such a method as to get the choice that they got here down with yesterday."


College of Manitoba army knowledgeable Andrea Charron mentioned that has been a part of a pattern.


"I do not suppose there's anyone individual or one occasion that may be blamed," she mentioned. "It is constant, persistent Canadian points with procurement. We are likely to make the choices very partisan ones. We're loath to spend a lot of cash on defence."


Tassi made some extent Monday of describing the competitors that led to the choice to launch negotiations with U.S. defence large Lockheed Martin for the acquisition of F-35s as non-political, saying the choice was "primarily based on info" quite than "greatest guesses."


Nonetheless, even when that's true, consultants say there isn't any denying the prices incurred. They embody the funding of billions of dollars to maintain the CF-18s within the air whereas the army waits for brand new fighter planes.


Public and political religion within the army procurement system has additionally been shaken, significantly after the scathing 2012 auditor common's report that recognized main issues with how the F-35 file was managed, and because the procurement system continues to expertise delays.


"Past that, the truth that we couldn't decide to purchase new airplanes and change others which can be 40 years previous has prompted some reputational hurt to Canada amongst our allies," added Perry.


After which there are the questions left over from Monday's announcement, which the federal government mentioned can be ironed out in the course of the negotiations with Lockheed Martin: When will the F-35s begin to arrive? And the way a lot will they really price?


Perry famous what finally led to the Conservatives pushing reset on their plan in 2012 to purchase the F-35 with no competitors was issues concerning the excessive price of the plane, with estimates pegging the value tag at greater than $45 billion over 40 years.


"I did not hear any numbers yesterday about what the lifecycle price of those jets goes to be," he mentioned.


"In 2010, 2011, and 2012, that was a front-page disaster about whether or not or not there was the precise quantity for lifecycle price."


Nossal, in the meantime, famous that issues can nonetheless go sideways if the negotiations with Lockheed Martin go awry.

This report by The Canadian Press was first revealed March 29, 2022.

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